Discussion Board

  

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1. Assuming that the population numbers in the above table are relatively accurate, use the Discussion Board Forum 2: Data spreadsheet to compute the deaths per 1000 people for each age group in both 1980 and 2016.  Deaths per 1000 people is computed using the formula Deaths per 1000 = (# of deaths) / (total population) X 1000. Do not round your answer to the nearest whole number, provide at least 2 decimal places (but no more than 4). Give these 6 values (e.g. deaths per 1000 people for ages 15–24 in 1980) and then cite a reference to discuss what might account for the changes between the deaths per 1000 in 1 of these 3 age categories between 1980 and 2016. Your discussion should be at least 40 words. 

2. Besides the changes in the overall death rate in the past 3 decades, the leading causes of death vary somewhat between 1980 and 2016. Choose 1 of the 3 age ranges and select 1 cause of death from the Discussion Board Forum 2: Data spreadsheet that strikes you as noteworthy and that appears in both the 1980 and 2016 lists. For the cause of death that you selected, compute the number of deaths per 1000 in both 1980 and 2016 for your chosen age group.  Do not round your answer to the nearest whole number, provide at least 2 decimal places.  Cite a reference to discuss the possible reasons for any changes in the rates over this period. Your discussion should be at least 40 words. 

3. Not only do the leading causes of death vary across time, they vary significantly for different age ranges. Looking only at the 2016 data, choose a cause of death that appears in both the 25–44 and 45–64 age categories and compute the number of deaths per 1000 people for both age categories. Do not round your answer to the nearest whole number, provide at least 2 decimal places.  Cite a reference to discuss a possible reason for any differences in these values as people advance in age. Your discussion should be at least 40 words. 

4. Contemplating causes of death might strike some people as unpleasant or even morbid. However, the Bible encourages us to give some thought to the fact of our own mortality. Ecclesiastes 7:2–4 says: “It is better to go to the house of mourning than to go to the house of feasting, for this is the end of all mankind, and the living will lay it to heart. Sorrow is better than laughter, for by sadness of face the heart is made glad. The heart of the wise is in the house of mourning, but the heart of fools is in the house of mirth.” It is interesting to consider why the author of Ecclesiastes encourages the wise to go to the house of mourning and the living to lay the end of all mankind to heart. What value might there be in thinking about the, admittedly uncomfortable, subject of the end of all mankind? What comes to your mind when you consider this topic? Please respond with at least 80 words. 

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5. Post replies of at least 50 words each to 2 of your classmates’ threads.

Sheet1

Population

Deaths

causes

Diseases of heart

Malignant neoplasms

Unintentional injuries

s

Cerebrovascular diseases

Diabetes mellitus

Suicide

Ages 15 – 24

Population

Population

Deaths Deaths

All causes

All causes

Unintentional injuries

Unintentional injuries

Suicide

Suicide

Homicide

Malignant neoplasms

Malignant neoplasms

Diseases of heart

Diseases of heart

Cerebrovascular diseases

Diabetes mellitus

Pneumonia and influenza

Chronic lower respiratory disease 206

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Influenza and pneumonia

Ages 25 – 44

Population

Population

Deaths Deaths

All causes

All causes

Unintentional injuries

Unintentional injuries

Malignant neoplasms

Malignant neoplasms

Diseases of heart

Suicide

Homicide

Diseases of heart

Suicide

Homicide

Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis

Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis

Cerebrovascular diseases

Diabetes mellitus

Diabetes mellitus

Cerebrovascular diseases

Pneumonia and influenza

Congenital anomalies

Ages 45 – 64

Population

Population

Deaths Deaths

All causes

All causes

Diseases of heart

Malignant neoplasms

Malignant neoplasms

Diseases of heart

Cerebrovascular diseases

Unintentional injuries

Unintentional injuries

Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis

Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Diabetes mellitus

Diabetes mellitus

Cerebrovascular diseases

Suicide

Suicide

Pneumonia and influenza

Septicemia

Homicide

Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis

1980 2016
Population 226,540,000 323,120,000
Deaths
All

1,989,841 All causes 2,744,248
Diseases of heart 761,085 635,260
Malignant neoplasms 416,509 598,038
Cerebrovascular diseases 170,225 Unintentional injuries 161,374
105,718 Chronic lower respiratory disease 154,596
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 56,050 142,142
Pneumonia and influenza 54,619 Alzheimer’s disease 116,103
Diabetes mellitus 34,851 80,058
Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis 30,583 Influenza and pneumonia 51,537
Atherosclerosis 29,449 Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis 50,046
Suicide 26,869 44,965
Ages 15 – 24
42,475,000 43,500,000
49,027 32,575
26,

206 13,895
Homicide 6,537 5,723
5,239 5,172
2,683 1,431
1,223 949
Congenital anomalies 600 Congenital malformations/abnormalities 388
418 211
348
141 189
Anemias 133 Complicated Pregnancy 184
Ages 25 – 44
62,707,000 85,150,000
108,658 135,408
26,722 44,959
17,551 14,694
14,513 14,396
10,963 13,922
9,855 8,745
4,782 3,776
3,154 2,841
1,472 2,426
1,467 HIV disease 1,517
817 Septicemia 1,316
Ages 45 – 64
44,497,000 84,300,000
425,338 539,961
148,322 157,655
135,675 112,637
19,909 45,237
18,140 21,812
16,089 Chronic lower respiratory diseases 22,117
11,514 20,518
7,977 17,663
7,079 16,196
5,804 8,413
4,019 7,790

MATH 114

Discussion Board Forum 2 Prompt

Please also pay close attention to any additional specifications provided by your professor. Professors often will clarify their expectations regarding the format and presentation of your submission.

Topic – Causes of Death in

1980

and

2016

According to the 1980 Census, the United States population was approximately

226,540,000

in 1980. It grew to approximately

323,120,000

at the beginning of 2016. Using Census data for 1980 and estimates derived from mortality data for 2016, we arrive at the population estimates given in the table below:

Year

Total Population

Ages 15–24

Ages 25–44

Ages 45–64

1980 226,540,000

42,475,000

62,707,000

44,497,000

2016 323,120,000

43,500,000

85,150,000

84,300,000

The National Center for Health Statistics published a document entitled “Health, United States, 2015: With Special Feature on Racial and Ethnic Health Disparities” that includes a table listing the leading causes of death in 1980 by age bracket. The CDC further produced a National Vital Statistics Reports that provided similar information for the year 2016. Under the Project Instructions link in Blackboard, you’ll find Discussion Board Forum 2: Data, a spreadsheet showing the leading causes of death in both 1980 and 2016 for these 3 age categories. Each of the first 3 questions has both a computational part and a discussion part. To get full credit for each of the discussion parts, please cite a reference to support your claims. This should not be an excessively difficult task: you can easily find information online for most of the illnesses or other causes listed in the report. All you need to do is provide the website you used (though other resources are also permitted if you prefer to use one of those).

1. Assuming that the population numbers in the above table are relatively accurate, use the Discussion Board Forum 2: Data spreadsheet to compute the deaths per 1000 people for each age group in both 1980 and 2016. Deaths per 1000 people is computed using the formula Deaths per 1000 = (# of deaths) / (total population) Do not round your answer to the nearest whole number, provide at least 2 decimal places (but no more than 4). Give these 6 values (e.g. deaths per 1000 people for ages 15–24 in 1980) and then cite a reference to discuss what might account for the changes between the deaths per 1000 in 1 of these 3 age categories between 1980 and 2016. Your discussion should be at least 40 words.

2. Besides the changes in the overall death rate in the past 3 decades, the leading causes of death vary somewhat between 1980 and 2016. Choose 1 of the 3 age ranges and select 1 cause of death from the Discussion Board Forum 2: Data spreadsheet that strikes you as noteworthy and that appears in both the 1980 and 2016 lists. For the cause of death that you selected, compute the number of deaths per 1000 in both 1980 and 2016 for your chosen age group. Do not round your answer to the nearest whole number, provide at least 2 decimal places. Cite a reference to discuss the possible reasons for any changes in the rates over this period. Your discussion should be at least 40 words.

3. Not only do the leading causes of death vary across time, they vary significantly for different age ranges. Looking only at the 2016 data, choose a cause of death that appears in both the 25–44 and 45–64 age categories and compute the number of deaths per 1000 people for both age categories. Do not round your answer to the nearest whole number, provide at least 2 decimal places. Cite a reference to discuss a possible reason for any differences in these values as people advance in age. Your discussion should be at least 40 words.

4. Contemplating causes of death might strike some people as unpleasant or even morbid. However, the Bible encourages us to give some thought to the fact of our own mortality. Ecclesiastes 7:2–4 says: “It is better to go to the house of mourning than to go to the house of feasting, for this is the end of all mankind, and the living will lay it to heart. Sorrow is better than laughter, for by sadness of face the heart is made glad. The heart of the wise is in the house of mourning, but the heart of fools is in the house of mirth.” It is interesting to consider why the author of Ecclesiastes encourages the wise to go to the house of mourning and the living to lay the end of all mankind to heart. What value might there be in thinking about the, admittedly uncomfortable, subject of the end of all mankind? What comes to your mind when you consider this topic? Please respond with at least 80 words.

5. Post replies of at least 50 words each to 2 of your classmates’ threads.

Submit your Discussion Board Forum 2 thread by 11:59 p.m. (ET) on Friday of Module/Week 5. Submit your replies by 11:59 p.m. (ET) on Monday of the same module/week.

Page 1 of 2

MATH 114 – Discussion Board Forum 2 (40 points)

Advanced 90-100% (A)

Proficient 70-89% (B-C)

Developing 1-69% (< D) Not present

Criteria

Levels of Achievement

Content 70%

(28 points)

Advanced 90-100% (A)

Proficient 70-89% (B-C)

Developing 1-69% (< D)

Not present

Calculations:

Questions 1a (4 pts), 2a (4 pts) and 3a (4 pts)

(12 points total)

10.8 to 12 points

All calculations are correct and use the correct data.

8.4 to 10.7 points

Not all answers are correct, but most calculations have the correct basic idea: we compute the deaths per 1000 by dividing deaths by population.

1 to 8.3 points

Most calculations do not compute deaths per 1000 by dividing the number of deaths by the total population.

0 points

No attempt is made to perform the calculations.

Death Rate Discussions: Questions 1b (3 pts), 2b (3 pts) and 3b (3 pts)

(9 points total)

8.1 to 9 points

Discussion is insightful, is consistent with and complements the computational results and includes a reference.

6.3 to 8 points

References are provided in most of the responses, and some worthwhile explanatory point is made. However, at points the discussion either lacks relevance to or consistency with reported numerical results or is lacking a reference to support claims.

1 to 6.2 points

Discussion fails to provide any references to further our understanding of the causes of observed changes.

0 points

No discussion of the death rates is provided.

Question 4

(7 points)

6.3 to 7 points

Discussion thoughtfully considers why the author of Ecclesiastes encourages us to take to heart the end of all mankind and proposes some merit in this contemplation.

4.9 to 6.2 points

Some perspective on death is provided, but does not directly address why its contemplation could be worthwhile.

1 to 4.8 points

Fails to engage with the question presented or provide any rationale for considering the end of all mankind.

0 points

No answer for this question is provided.

Structure 30%

(12 points)

Spelling/Grammar (0.5 point per questions 1b, 2b, 3b & 4 and 1 points for each reply)
(4 points)

3.6 to 4 points

Grammar is perfect. Questions are answered in complete sentences.

2.8 to 3.5 points

Minor grammar errors may be noted, but they do not interfere with the readability of the responses. Answers are in complete sentences.

1 to 2.7points

Answers are either not in complete sentences or are full of grammar errors that impact the readability of the responses.

0 points

No answers for these questions are provided.

Word count (0.5 points each for 40 words for questions 1b, 2b and 3b, and 0.5 points for 80 words for question 4 and 2 points each for 50 words for each reply)

(6 points)

5.4 to 6 points

Word count met or exceeded for each discussion question and for both replies.

4.2 to 5.3 points

Word count met for part of the assignment but not all.

1 to 4.1 points

Discussion questions and replies fall well short of the specified word requirements.

0 points

No answers to discussion questions or replies are provided.

2 Replies

(2 points)

1.8 to 2.0 points

Two replies are provided for two colleagues.

1.4 to 1.7 points

Two replies, but not complete in content.

1 to 1.3 points

Only one reply.

0 points

No reply at all.

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