video summary
To participate, first listen to the BBC More or Less Episode
“Maternal deaths, taxi driver earnings and statistical pop music” (Links to an external site.)
(https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p07n8x0c). Then write a 250-300 word summary of the episode.
Your summary should be accessible to your fellow classmates in PSYC 60 and describe how each of the main stories in the episode relate to specific statistical concepts covered in this class, as well as share something you learned or found interesting.
Thoughtful and well written summaries will earn 1% in extra credit toward your final grade, and all summaries will be evaluated by Prof. Fan. There will be no extensions granted, and you are not guaranteed to receive extra credit if you submit a summary.
If you wish your summary to be considered for extra credit, you must submit it via Canvas by 2/7/20 at 5pm. Your summary can be pasted directly into Canvas, or uploaded as a “.txt” file.
Syllabus
Click on the date for more information about each lecture.
A detailed version of the full syllabus is available
here
.
Here is the link to the book
“Statistical Thinking for the 21st century” (ST21)
.
date |
topic |
reading |
learning goals |
|||||||||
1/7 |
Overview: What is statistics? |
Chapter 1, ST21 |
Describe the central goals and fundamental concepts of statistics. |
|||||||||
1/9 |
Working with data |
Chapter 2, ST21 |
Distinguish between different types of variables (quantitative/qualitative, discrete/continuous) |
|||||||||
SECTION |
R Lab: Introduction to R |
Chapter 3, ST21 |
Interact with an RMarkdown notebook in RStudio |
|||||||||
1/14 |
Summarizing data |
Chapter 4, ST21 |
Compute absolute, relative, and cumulative frequency distributions for a given dataset |
|||||||||
1/16 |
Visualizing data |
Chapter 6, ST21 |
Describe the principles that distinguish between good and bad graphs, and use them to identify good versus bad graphs. |
|||||||||
R Lab: Representing data |
Chapter 5, ST21 |
How to store vectors as variables |
||||||||||
1/21 |
Fitting models: central tendency |
Chapter 8, ST21 |
Describe the basic equation for statistical models (outcome=model + error) |
|||||||||
1/23 |
Fitting models: variability |
Describe different measures of dispersion, how they are computed, and how to determine which is most appropriate in any given circumstance. Describe and compute z-scores. |
||||||||||
R Lab: Visualizing and summarizing data |
Chapter 7, ST21 |
Understand advantages of “tidy” data |
||||||||||
1/28 |
Probability: basic rules, everyday randomness |
Chapter 10, ST21 |
Describe the sample space for a selected random experiment. |
|||||||||
1/30 |
Probability: conditioning and independence |
Describe the difference between a probability and a conditional probability |
||||||||||
R Lab: Descriptive statistics (central tendency, dispersion) |
Chapter 9, ST21 |
Apply filtering to a dataframe |
||||||||||
2/4 |
Sampling: sampling error and the Central Limit Theorem |
Chapter 12, ST21 |
Distinguish between a population and a sample, and between population parameters and statistics |
|||||||||
2/6 |
Sampling: Monte Carlo simulation and bootstrapping |
Chapter 14, ST21 |
Learn about role of Monte Carlo simulation in statistics |
|||||||||
R Lab: Probability |
Chapter 11, ST21 |
Gain additional intuition for probability concepts by conducting simulations in R |
||||||||||
2/11 |
Hypothesis testing: comparing means across two groups |
Chapter 16 & 28, ST21 |
Determine whether a one-sample t-test or two-sample t-test is appropriate for a given hypothesis. |
|||||||||
2/13 |
Hypothesis testing: comparing means across three or more groups; confidence intervals; effect size |
Chapter 28, ST21 |
Compute a one-sample, two-sample t-test, and ANOVA on relevant datasets, and compute the effect size and confidence intervals associated with each of these tests. Describe the proper interpretation of a confidence interval, and compute a confidence interval for the mean of a given dataset. Learning how to read R output |
|||||||||
R Lab: Sampling |
Chapter 13 & 15, ST21 |
Gain intuition for Central Limit Theorem by conducting a simulation |
||||||||||
2/18 |
Resampling; statistical power; limitations of NHST |
Describe how resampling can be used to compute a p-value. |
||||||||||
2/20 |
Quantifying effects: confidence intervals and effect size |
Chapter 18, ST21 |
Describe the proper interpretation of a confidence interval, and compute a confidence interval for the mean of a given dataset. Define the concept of effect size, and compute the effect size for a given test. |
|||||||||
R Lab: Hypothesis testing |
Chapter 17 & 19, ST21 |
Compute and interpret measures of effect size |
||||||||||
2/25 |
Modeling continuous relationships (continuous outcome; continuous predictor) |
Chapter 24, ST21 |
Describe the concept of the correlation coefficient and its interpretation and compute it for a bivariate dataset |
|||||||||
2/27 |
Modeling categorical relationship (categorical outcome; categorical predictor) |
Chapter 22, ST21 |
Describe the concept of a contingency table for categorical data. |
|||||||||
R Lab: ANOVA and correlation |
Chapter 25, ST21 |
Conduct ANOVA for difference in means and interpret results |
||||||||||
3/3 |
General Linear Model: how different types of modeling are related to each other |
Chapter 26, ST21 |
Understand t-tests, ANOVA, regression as variations of the General Linear Model |
|||||||||
3/5 |
Experimental Research: replication/reproducibility; meta-analysis; challenges to cumulative science |
Chapter 32, ST21 |
Describe the concept of P-hacking and its effects on scientific practice |
|||||||||
R Lab: Linear Regression |
Chapter 27, ST21 |
Fit a linear regression model to data and interpret the results |
||||||||||
3/10 |
Observational Research: strategies for modeling real-world data |
Describe how to determine what kind of model to apply to a dataset |
||||||||||
3/12 |
People’s Choice |
|||||||||||
R Lab: Final Project Workshop |
Chapter 30, ST21 |
Demonstrate the ability to apply statistical models to real data in R |
Syllabus
Click on the date for more information about each lecture.
A detailed version of the full syllabus is available
here
.
Here is the link to the book
“Statistical Thinking for the 21st century” (ST21)
.
date |
topic |
reading |
learning goals |
|||||||||
1/7 |
Overview: What is statistics? |
Chapter 1, ST21 |
Describe the central goals and fundamental concepts of statistics. |
|||||||||
1/9 |
Working with data |
Chapter 2, ST21 |
Distinguish between different types of variables (quantitative/qualitative, discrete/continuous) |
|||||||||
SECTION |
R Lab: Introduction to R |
Chapter 3, ST21 |
Interact with an RMarkdown notebook in RStudio |
|||||||||
1/14 |
Summarizing data |
Chapter 4, ST21 |
Compute absolute, relative, and cumulative frequency distributions for a given dataset |
|||||||||
1/16 |
Visualizing data |
Chapter 6, ST21 |
Describe the principles that distinguish between good and bad graphs, and use them to identify good versus bad graphs. |
|||||||||
R Lab: Representing data |
Chapter 5, ST21 |
How to store vectors as variables |
||||||||||
1/21 |
Fitting models: central tendency |
Chapter 8, ST21 |
Describe the basic equation for statistical models (outcome=model + error) |
|||||||||
1/23 |
Fitting models: variability |
Describe different measures of dispersion, how they are computed, and how to determine which is most appropriate in any given circumstance. Describe and compute z-scores. |
||||||||||
R Lab: Visualizing and summarizing data |
Chapter 7, ST21 |
Understand advantages of “tidy” data |
||||||||||
1/28 |
Probability: basic rules, everyday randomness |
Chapter 10, ST21 |
Describe the sample space for a selected random experiment. |
|||||||||
1/30 |
Probability: conditioning and independence |
Describe the difference between a probability and a conditional probability |
||||||||||
R Lab: Descriptive statistics (central tendency, dispersion) |
Chapter 9, ST21 |
Apply filtering to a dataframe |
||||||||||
2/4 |
Sampling: sampling error and the Central Limit Theorem |
Chapter 12, ST21 |
Distinguish between a population and a sample, and between population parameters and statistics |
|||||||||
2/6 |
Sampling: Monte Carlo simulation and bootstrapping |
Chapter 14, ST21 |
Learn about role of Monte Carlo simulation in statistics |
|||||||||
R Lab: Probability |
Chapter 11, ST21 |
Gain additional intuition for probability concepts by conducting simulations in R |
||||||||||
2/11 |
Hypothesis testing: comparing means across two groups |
Chapter 16 & 28, ST21 |
Determine whether a one-sample t-test or two-sample t-test is appropriate for a given hypothesis. |
|||||||||
2/13 |
Hypothesis testing: comparing means across three or more groups; confidence intervals; effect size |
Chapter 28, ST21 |
Compute a one-sample, two-sample t-test, and ANOVA on relevant datasets, and compute the effect size and confidence intervals associated with each of these tests. Describe the proper interpretation of a confidence interval, and compute a confidence interval for the mean of a given dataset. Learning how to read R output |
|||||||||
R Lab: Sampling |
Chapter 13 & 15, ST21 |
Gain intuition for Central Limit Theorem by conducting a simulation |
||||||||||
2/18 |
Resampling; statistical power; limitations of NHST |
Describe how resampling can be used to compute a p-value. |
||||||||||
2/20 |
Quantifying effects: confidence intervals and effect size |
Chapter 18, ST21 |
Describe the proper interpretation of a confidence interval, and compute a confidence interval for the mean of a given dataset. Define the concept of effect size, and compute the effect size for a given test. |
|||||||||
R Lab: Hypothesis testing |
Chapter 17 & 19, ST21 |
Compute and interpret measures of effect size |
||||||||||
2/25 |
Modeling continuous relationships (continuous outcome; continuous predictor) |
Chapter 24, ST21 |
Describe the concept of the correlation coefficient and its interpretation and compute it for a bivariate dataset |
|||||||||
2/27 |
Modeling categorical relationship (categorical outcome; categorical predictor) |
Chapter 22, ST21 |
Describe the concept of a contingency table for categorical data. |
|||||||||
R Lab: ANOVA and correlation |
Chapter 25, ST21 |
Conduct ANOVA for difference in means and interpret results |
||||||||||
3/3 |
General Linear Model: how different types of modeling are related to each other |
Chapter 26, ST21 |
Understand t-tests, ANOVA, regression as variations of the General Linear Model |
|||||||||
3/5 |
Experimental Research: replication/reproducibility; meta-analysis; challenges to cumulative science |
Chapter 32, ST21 |
Describe the concept of P-hacking and its effects on scientific practice |
|||||||||
R Lab: Linear Regression |
Chapter 27, ST21 |
Fit a linear regression model to data and interpret the results |
||||||||||
3/10 |
Observational Research: strategies for modeling real-world data |
Describe how to determine what kind of model to apply to a dataset |
||||||||||
3/12 |
People’s Choice |
|||||||||||
R Lab: Final Project Workshop |
Chapter 30, ST21 |
Demonstrate the ability to apply statistical models to real data in R |