Data science and big data analytics
What are the benefits of doing a pilot program before a full scale rollout of a new analytical methodology? Discuss this in the context of the mini case study attached.
APA intext citations and references with 0 plagiarism.
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Module 2 –
Data Analytics Lifecycle
1 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
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Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
Upon completion of this module, you should be able to:
• Apply the Data Analytics Lifecycle to a case study scenario
• Frame a business problem as an analytics problem
• Identify the four main deliverables in an analytics project
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 2
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Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
• Data Analytics Lifecycle
• Roles for a Successful Analytics Project
• Case Study to apply the data analytics lifecycle
During this module the following topics are covered:
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 3
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How to Approach Your Analytics Problems
• How do you currently approach
your analytics problems?
• Do you follow a methodology or
some kind of framework?
• How do you plan for an analytic
project?
4 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
Your Thoughts?
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• Focus your time
• Ensure rigor and completeness
• Enable better transition to members of the cross-functional
analytic teams
Repeatable
Scale to additional analysts
Support validity of findings
5
“A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step“ (Lao Tzu)
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
Value of Using the Data Analytics Lifecycle
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6
1. Well-defined processes
can help guide any analytic
project
2. Focus of Data
Analytics
Lifecycle is on Data Science
projects, not business
intelligence
3. Data Science projects tend to require a more consultative
approach, and differ in a few ways
More due diligence in Discovery phase
More projects which lack shape or structure
Less predictable data
Need For a Process to Guide Data Science Projects
6 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
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Key Roles for a Successful Analytic Project
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 7
Role Description
Business User
Someone who benefits from the end results and can consult and advise project team on
value of end results and how these will be operationalized
Project Sponsor
Person responsible for the genesis of the project, providing the impetus for the project
and core business problem, generally provides the funding and will gauge the degree of
value from the final outputs of the working team
Project Manager Ensure key milestones and objectives are met on time and at expected quality.
Business
Intelligence Analyst
Business domain expertise with deep understanding of the data, KPIs, key metrics and
business intelligence from a reporting perspective
Data Engineer
Deep technical skills to assist with tuning SQL queries for data management, extraction
and support data ingest to analytic sandbox
Database
Administrator (DBA)
Database Administrator who provisions and configures database environment to
support the analytical needs of the working team
Data Scientist
Provide subject matter expertise for analytical techniques, data modeling, applying valid
analytical techniques to given business problems and ensuring overall analytical
objectives are met
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 8
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
1
2
3
4
6
5
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 1: Discovery
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 11
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Learn the Business Domain
Determine amount of domain knowledge needed to orient you to the data and
interpret results downstream
Determine the general analytic problem type (such as clustering, classification)
If you don’t know, then conduct initial research to learn about the domain area
you’ll be analyzing
• Learn from the past
Have there been previous attempts in the organization to solve this problem?
If so, why did they fail? Why are we trying again? How have things changed?
1
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 1: Discovery
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 12
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Resources
Assess available technology
Available data – sufficient to meet your needs
People for the working team
Assess scope of time for the project in calendar time and person-hours
Do you have sufficient resources to attempt the project? If not, can you get
more?
1
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 1: Discovery
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 13
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Frame the problem…..Framing is the process of stating the analytics problem
to be solved
State the analytics problem, why it is important, and to whom
Identify key stakeholders and their interests in the project
Clearly articulate the current situation and pain points
Objectives – identify what needs to be achieved in business terms and what needs
to be done to meet the needs
What is the goal? What are the criteria for success? What’s “good enough”?
What is the failure criterion (when do we just stop trying or settle for what we
have)?
Identify the success criteria, key risks, and stakeholders (such as RACI)
1
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Tips for Interviewing the Analytics Sponsor
• Even if you are “given” an analytic problem you should work with clients to
clarify and frame the problem
You’re typically handed solutions, you need to
identify the problem and their desired outcome
Sponsor Interview Tips
• Prepare for the interview – draft your questions, review with colleague, team
• Use open-ended questions, don’t ask leading questions
• Probe for details, follow-up
• Don’t fill every silence – give them time to think
• Let them express their ideas, don’t put words in their mouth, let them share their feelings
• Ask clarifying questions, ask why – is that correct? Am I on target? Is there anything else?
• Use active listening – repeat it back to make sure you heard it correctly
• Don’t express your opinions
• Be mindful of your body language and theirs – use eye contact, be attentive
• Minimize distractions
• Document what you heard and review it back with the sponsor
14
14 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
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Tips for Interviewing the Analytics Sponsor
Interview Questions
• What is the business problem you’re trying to solve?
• What is your desired outcome?
• Will the focus and scope of the problem change if the following dimensions
change:
• Time – analyzing 1 year or 10 years worth of data?
• People – how would this project change this?
• Risk – conservative to aggressive
• Resources – none to unlimited (tools, tech, …..)
• Size and attributes of Data
• What data sources do you have?
• What industry issues may impact the analysis?
• What timelines are you up against?
• Who could provide insight into the project? Consulted?
• Who has final say on the project?
15
15 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 1: Discovery
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 16
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Formulate Initial Hypotheses
IH, H1 , H2, H3, … Hn
Gather and assess hypotheses from stakeholders and
domain experts
Preliminary data exploration to inform discussions with
stakeholders during the hypothesis forming stage
• Identify Data Sources – Begin Learning the Data
Aggregate sources for previewing the data and provide
high-level understanding
Review the raw data
Determine the structures and tools needed
Scope the kind of data needed for this kind of problem
1
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Using a Sample Case Study to Track the Phases in the
Data Analytics Lifecycle
Situation Synopsis
• Retail Bank, Yoyodyne Bank wants to improve the Net Present Value
(NPV) and retention rate of customers
• They want to establish an effective marketing campaign targeting
customers to reduce the churn rate by at least five percent
• The bank wants to determine whether those customers are worth
retaining. In addition, the bank also wants to analyze reasons for
customer attrition and what they can do to keep them
• The bank wants to build a data warehouse to support Marketing
and other related customer care groups
18
Mini Case Study: Churn Prediction for
Yoyodyne Bank
18 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
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How to Frame an Analytics Problem
Sample Business Problems Qualifiers Analytical
Approach
• How can we improve on x?
• What’s happening real-time?
Trends?
• How can we use analytics
differentiate ourselves
• How can we use analytics to
innovate?
• How can we stay ahead of our
biggest competitor?
Will the focus and scope of the problem change if
the following dimensions change:
• Time
• People – how would x change this?
• Risk – conservative/aggressive
• Resources – none/unlimited
• Size of Data?
Define an analytical
approach, including
key terms, metrics, and
data needed.
Yoyodyne Bank
How can we improve
Net Present Value (NPV) and
retention rate of the customers?
• Time: Trailing 5 months
• People: Working team and business users
from the Bank
• Risk: the project will fail if we cannot
determine valid predictors of churn
• Resources: EDW, analytic sandbox, OLTP
system
• Data: Use 24 months for the training set,
then analyze 5 months of historical data for
those customers who churned
How do we identify
churn/no churn for a
customer?
Pilot study followed
full scale analytical
model
19 19 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
Mini Case Study:
Churn Prediction for
Yoyodyne Bank
Mini Case
Study
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 2: Data Preparation
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 20
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Prepare Analytic Sandbox
Work space for the analytic team
10x+ vs. EDW
• Perform ELT
Determine needed transformations
Assess data quality and structuring
Derive statistically useful measures
Extract data and determine data
connections for raw data, OLTP
transactions, OLAP cubes or data feeds
Big ELT and Big ETL
• Useful Tools for this phase:
• For Data Transformation & Cleansing: SQL, Hadoop, MapReduce, Alpine Miner
2
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 2: Data Preparation
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 22
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Familiarize yourself with the data thoroughly
List your data sources
What’s needed vs. what’s available
• Data Conditioning
Clean and normalize data
Discern what you keep vs. what you discard
• Survey & Visualize
Overview, zoom & filter, details-on-demand
Descriptive Statistics
Data Quality
• Useful Tools for this phase:
• Descriptive Statistics on candidate variables for diagnostics & quality
• Visualization: R (base package, ggplot and lattice), GnuPlot, Ggobi/Rggobi, Spotfire,
Tableau
2
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 3: Model Planning
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 24
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Determine Methods
Select methods based on hypotheses, data
structure and volume
Ensure techniques and approach will meet
business objectives
• Techniques & Workflow
Candidate tests and sequence
Identify and document modeling
assumptions
• Useful Tools for this phase: R/PostgresSQL, SQL
Analytics, Alpine Miner, SAS/ACCESS, SPSS/OBDC
3
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 3: Model Planning
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 26
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Data Exploration
• Variable Selection
Inputs from stakeholders and domain
experts
Capture essence of the predictors, leverage
a technique for dimensionality reduction
Iterative testing to confirm the most
significant variables
• Model Selection
Conversion to SQL or database language for
best performance
Choose technique based on the end goal
3
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Sample Research: Churn Prediction in Other Verticals
Market Sector Analytic Techniques/Methods Used
Wireless Telecom DMEL method (data mining by evolutionary learning)
Retail Business Logistic regression, ARD (automatic
relevance determination), decision tree
Daily Grocery MLR (multiple linear regression), ARD, and decision tree
Wireless Telecom Neural network, decision tree, hierarchical neurofuzzy systems, rule evolver
Retail Banking Multiple regression
Wireless Telecom Logistic regression, neural network, decision tree
28 28 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
Mini Case Study:
Churn Prediction for
Yoyodyne Bank
• After conducting research on churn prediction, you have identified many
methods for analyzing customer churn across multiple verticals (those in
bold are taught in this course)
• At this point, a Data Scientist would assess the methods and select the best
model for the situation
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 4: Model Building
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 29
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Develop data sets for testing, training, and production purposes
Need to ensure that the model data is sufficiently robust for the model
and analytical techniques
Smaller, test sets for validating approach, training set for initial
experiments
• Get the best environment you can for building models and
workflows…fast hardware, parallel processing
• Useful Tools for this phase: R, PL/R, SQL, Alpine Miner, SAS Enterprise Miner
4
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 5: Communicate Results
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
Did we succeed? Did we fail?
• Interpret the results
• Compare to IH’s from Phase 1
• Identify key findings
• Quantify business value
• Summarizing findings, depending on
audience
5
For the YoyoDyne Case Study,
what would be some possible results and key findings?
Mini Case Study:
Churn Prediction for
Yoyodyne Bank
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 31
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Data Analytics Lifecycle
Phase 6: Operationalize
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 33
Discovery
Operationalize
Model
Planning
Data Prep
Model
Building
Communicate
Results
Do I have enough
information to draft an
analytic plan and share for
peer review?
Do I have
enough good
quality data to
start building
the model?
Do I have a good idea
about the type of model
to try? Can I refine the
analytic plan?
Is the model robust
enough? Have we
failed for sure?
• Run a pilot
• Assess the benefits
• Deliver final deliverables
• Model Execution in Production
Environment
• Define process to update and retrain
the model, as needed
6
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Analytic Plan
35
Components of
Analytic Plan
Retail Banking: Yoyodyne Bank
Phase 1: Discovery
Business Problem
Framed
How do we identify churn/no churn for a customer?
Initial Hypotheses Transaction volume and type are key predictors of churn rates.
Data 5 months of customer account history.
Phase 3: Model
Planning – Analytic
Technique
Logistic regression to identify most influential factors predicting
churn.
Phase 5:
Result &
Key Findings
Once customers stop using their accounts for gas and groceries, they
will soon erode their accounts and churn.
If customers use their debit card fewer than 5 times per month, they
will leave the bank within 60 days.
Business Impact If we can target customers who are high-risk for churn, we can reduce
customer attrition by 25%. This would save $3 million in lost of
customer revenue and avoid $1.5 million in new customer acquisition
costs each year.
35 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
Mini Case Study:
Churn Prediction for
Retail Banking
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Key Outputs from a Successful Analytic Project, by Role
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 36
Role Description What the Role Needs in the Final Deliverables
Business
User
Someone who benefits from the end results and can
consult and advise project team on value of end results and
how these will be operationalized
• Sponsor Presentation addressing:
• Are the results good for me?
• What are the benefits of the findings?
• What are the implications of this for me?
Project
Sponsor
Person responsible for the genesis of the project, providing
the impetus for the project and core business problem,
generally provides the funding and will gauge the degree of
value from the final outputs of the working team
• Sponsor Presentation addressing:
• What’s the business impact of doing this?
• What are the risks? ROI?
• How can this be evangelized within the
organization (and beyond)?
Project
Manager
Ensure key milestones and objectives are met on time and
at expected quality.
Business
Intelligence
Analyst
Business domain expertise with deep understanding of the
data, KPIs, key metrics and business intelligence from a
reporting perspective
• Show the analyst presentation
• Determine if the reports will change
Data
Engineer
Deep technical skills to assist with tuning SQL queries for
data management, extraction and support data ingest to
analytic sandbox
• Share the code from the analytical project
• Create technical document on how to
implement it.
Database
Administrato
r (DBA)
Database Administrator who provisions and configures
database environment to support the analytical needs of
the working team
• Share the code from the analytical project
• Create technical document on how to
implement it.
Data
Scientist
Provide subject matter expertise for analytical techniques,
data modeling, applying valid analytical techniques to given
business problems and ensuring overall analytical
objectives are met
• Show the analyst presentation
• Share the code
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4 Core Deliverables to Meet Most Stakeholder Needs
1. Presentation for Project Sponsors
• “Big picture” takeaways for executive level stakeholders
• Determine key messages to aid their decision-making process
• Focus on clean, easy visuals for the presenter to explain and for the
viewer to grasp
2. Presentation for Analysts
• Business process changes
• Reporting changes
• Fellow Data Scientists will want the details and are comfortable with
technical graphs (such as ROC curves, density plots, histograms)
3. Code for technical people
4. Technical specs of implementing the code
37 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
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Analyst Wish List for a Successful Analytics Project
Data & Workspaces
• Access to all the data, including aggregated OLAP data, BI tools, raw data, structured
and various states of unstructured data as needed
• Up-to-date data dictionary to describe the data
• Area for staging and production data sets
• Ability to move data back and forth between workspaces and staging areas
• Analytic sandbox with strong compute power to experiment and play with the data
Tools
• Statistical/mathematical/visual software of choice for a given situation and problem set,
such as SAS, Matlab, R, java tools, Tableau, Spotfire
• Collaboration: an online platform or environment for collaboration and communicating
with team members
• Tool or place to log errors with systems, environments or data sets
39 39 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
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Concepts in Practice
Greenplum’s Approach to Analytics
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 40
EDC PLATFORM Data
Analytics
Analyze and
Model in the
cloud
Push
results
back into
the cloud
Get data
into the
cloud
Pa
st
Fu
tu
re
Facts Interpretation
What will
happen?
How can
we do
better?
What
happened
where and
when?
How and
why did it
happen?
Magnetic
Attract all kinds of data
Agile
Flexible and elastic data structures
Deep
Rich data repository and
algorithmic engine
Source: MAD Skills: New Analysis Practices for Big Data, March 2009
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“The pessimist –
complains about the wind
The optimist –
expects it to change
The leader –
adjusts the sails
John Maxwell
(Leadership Author)
41 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
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Check Your Knowledge
• In which phase would you expect to invest most of your project time and
why? Where would expect to spend the least time?
• What are the benefits of doing a pilot program before a full scale rollout of a
new analytical methodology? Discuss this in the context of the mini case
study.
• What kinds of tools would be used in the following phases, and for which
kinds of use scenarios?
Phase 2: Data Preparation
Phase 4: Model Execution
• Now that you have completed the analytical project at Yoyodyne, you have an
opportunity to repurpose this approach for an online eCommerce company.
What phases of the lifecycle do you need to focus on to identify ways to do
this?
42 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
Your Thoughts?
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Module 2: Summary
Key points covered in this module:
• The Data Analytics Lifecycle was applied to a case study
scenario
• A business problem was framed as an analytics problem
• The four main deliverables in an analytics project were
identified
Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle 43
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Lab Exercise 1: Introduction to Data Environment
44 Module 2: Data Analytics Lifecycle
This first lab introduces the Analytics Lab Environment you
will be working on throughout the course.
After completing the tasks in this lab you should be able to:
• Authenticate and access the Virtual Machine (VM)
assigned to you for all of your lab exercises
• Locate data sets you will be working with for the
course’s labs
• Use meta commands and PSQL to navigate through
the data sets
• Create sub-sets of the big data, using table joins and
filters to analyze subsequent lab exercises